Thursday, April 22, 2010

Decision

As to the role of a superb memory, in the practice of medicine, the problem is usually not unable to remember certain facts, but failure to make a decision. After all, what good is there to be able to list 100 differential diagnosis of a certain symptom but unable to pin down which one your patient at hand is having?

A list of differential diagnosis is a list of wrong diagnosis.

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While thinking about making decisions, I met AG - a young colleague of mine - during lunch.

She was thinking of buying a new flat and start some other investment, and she asked for my advice.

The first question was easy: As long as one has a need to live in the flat and one could afford, go buy one by all means. How about fluctuation of the property market ? Oh, if there is no consensus amongst the experts, you can do whatever you like; if there is a consensus, of course you should go and do the opposite.

As to the second question, you don't need a genius to have a satisfactory result - neither do you need to listen to much investment advise. As Andre Kostolany pointed out, winners of the investment game are usually decisive but persistent persons.

That actually applies to many other things in life.

1 comment:

TW said...

Memorizing is good for exam, but will deteriorate with age, and now more being replaced with electronic resource. But memorizing is a good practice, it actually involve "organization" to memorize something. And I belief this is the basis for learning language.
However something more useful, it's called ?"gut feeling", or ? "six sense" or ? "experience",(anyway more than sheer-luck"). Have you read the book " Blink", it talks about this "subscious" ability, in a scientific way, quite interesting.