Sunday, September 16, 2012

Outcome

My blog in the past few days was written before the result of Legislative Council election was out.

With hindsight, many of you may think my plan for CY was not necessary. After all, our estalishmentarian parties was by an large successful without any help from CE.

In that case, you miss the point: If our CE did withdraw the subject, who would believe the friends of Sai Wan earned the victory by themselves?

To go one step further, this hypothetical move demonstrates several important characteristics of glaring strategies:

  1. the cost of the doing is minimal
  2. the outcome is certain and not related to what the doing is
By the way, if the estalishmentarians do not follow the proposed gentleman's agreement (for example, if they realize they win by their own effort), selected information may be leaked - and they will pay!

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